Super Tuesday: The Sequel

As I am sure everyone in America knows, tomorrow is another one of those primary things that will decide who can run for president. John McCain has basically secured the nomination, but these two primaries are particularly important to the democrats. Polls show Obama and Clinton dead tied in Texas and Clinton with a small lead in Ohio.

Often though it seems that these polls, conducted by sophisticated agencies are often not very accurate predictions. I mean, polls are easy when it poses a question such as "What is your favorite color?" but the lines are blurred when those pollsters delve into deep topics such as politics and if you are truly happy. The polls have been shown to be wrong in many cases, recently in New Hampshire, where Obama was predicted to have an easy victory but didn't. There are two many factors to accurately predict the public's opinion, one of them being that the public often changes its opinion. Also, sample populations commonly are not truly representative. This can be even more true in political polls, with so many undecided and whimsical voters. In Texas, many Republicans are even expected to vote against Hillary, because their nomination isn't fun any more—McCain already has it locked in.

Anyway back to tomorrow. The dead heat in Texas is shown through polls that have Obama and Hillary both at 47%, but what is less known is that these polls have a margin of error of 4%, basically making them useless tools. Obama could win by as much as 51% to Clinton's 43% and the polls would still be technically right.

On March 4th hopefully the polls will be wrong, Obama will win with enough delegates to make Hillary drop out in despair and this lengthy nomination will be over. Ideally, this would happen, but Super Tuesday only made the race closer and we might have to endure another few months of political nomination talk, which will stop in time for the next round—McCain vs TBD. I don't know about you, but I need a little break before the next round.